HomeEconomyTrump’s 'reciprocal' tariff blitz pushes world toward trade war

Trump’s ‘reciprocal’ tariff blitz pushes world toward trade war

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Sweeping new tariffs introduced Wednesday by U.S. President Donald Trump provoked dismay, threats of countermeasures and requires additional negotiations to make commerce guidelines fairer.

But responses have been measured, highlighting a scarcity of urge for food amongst key buying and selling companions for an outright commerce conflict with the world’s greatest economic system.

Trump mentioned the import taxes, starting from 10% to 49%, would do to U.S. buying and selling companions what they’ve lengthy finished to the United States. He maintains they may draw factories and jobs again to the United States.

“Taxpayers have been ripped off for more than 50 years,” he said. “But it’s not going to occur anymore.”

Trump’s announcement of a brand new 20% tariff on the European Union drew a pointy rebuke from European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, who mentioned it was a “main blow to the world economic system.”

“The consequences will be dire for millions of people around the globe,” von der Leyen said. Groceries, transport and medicines will cost more, she said while visiting Uzbekistan, “And that is hurting, specifically, probably the most susceptible residents.”

Von der Leyen acknowledged that the world buying and selling system has “severe deficiencies” and mentioned the EU was prepared to barter with the U.S. but additionally was ready to reply with countermeasures.

The British authorities mentioned the U.S. stays the United Kingdom’s “closest ally,” and Business Secretary Jonathan Reynolds mentioned the U.Ok. hoped to strike a commerce deal to “mitigate the affect” of the ten% tariffs on British items.

“Nobody wants a trade war, and our intention remains to secure a deal,” mentioned Reynolds. “But nothing is off the desk and the federal government will do all the pieces essential to defend the U.Ok.’s nationwide curiosity.”

Japan, America’s closest ally in Asia, plans to carefully analyze the U.S. tariffs and their affect, Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi mentioned, whereas refraining from discuss of retaliation. But he mentioned the strikes would have a big effect on relations with the U.S.

Italy’s conservative Premier Giorgia Meloni mentioned the upper tariffs would profit neither facet.

“We will do all the pieces we are able to to work in direction of an settlement with the United States, with the intention of avoiding a commerce conflict that will inevitably weaken the West in favor of different world gamers,” Meloni mentioned in a Facebook submit.

Brazil, hit with a ten% tariff, mentioned it was contemplating interesting to the World Trade Organization (WTO). Its congress unanimously handed a invoice to permit retaliation for any tariffs on Brazilian items.

Financial markets have been jolted, with U.S. inventory futures down by as a lot as 3% early Thursday and a 3.1% drop in Tokyo’s benchmark main losses in Asia. Oil costs briefly sank greater than $2 a barrel.

“The magnitude of the rollout – each in scale and velocity – wasn’t simply aggressive; it was a full-throttle macro disruption,” Stephen Innes of SPI Asset Management mentioned in a commentary.

While the longer-term ramifications might embody a dismantling of provide chains constructed up over a long time, a extra quick concern is the upper threat of recession.

“The (average) U.S. tariff rate on all imports is now around 22%, from 2.5% in 2024. That rate was last seen around 1910,” Olu Sonola, Fitch Ratings’ head of U.S. Economic Research, mentioned in a report.

“This is a recreation changer, not just for the U.S. economic system however for the worldwide economic system. Many nations will seemingly find yourself in a recession. You can throw most forecasts out the door if this tariff price stays on for an prolonged time frame,” Sonola mentioned.

Burden on Asia-Pacific

The burden falls heaviest on Asia-Pacific nations, with the very best tariffs for impoverished, financially precarious nations like Laos at a 48% tariff, Cambodia at 49% and Myanmar at 44%.

Asian nations which might be among the many greatest exporters to the U.S. pledged to behave quick to help automakers and different companies more likely to be affected.

Cargo ships are loaded with containers whereas docked on the port of Bangkok, Thailand, April 3, 2025. (Reuters Photo)

South Korean Prime Minister Han Duck-soo informed officers to work with business teams to investigate the affect of the brand new 25% tariff to “decrease injury,” the commerce ministry mentioned.

China’s commerce ministry mentioned Beijing would “resolutely take countermeasures to safeguard its personal rights and pursuits,” with out saying precisely what it would do. With earlier rounds of tariffs, China reacted by imposing larger duties on U.S. exports of farm merchandise, whereas limiting exports of minerals used for high-tech industries comparable to electrical autos.

“China urges the United States to right away cancel its unilateral tariff measures and correctly resolve variations with its buying and selling companions by equal dialogue,” it mentioned.

Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum mentioned she would wait to see how Trump’s announcement would have an effect on Mexico. Like Canada, Mexico was spared for items already certified below its free commerce settlement with the U.S., although beforehand introduced 25% tariffs on auto imports took impact Thursday.

“It’s not a question of if you impose tariffs on me, I’m going to impose tariffs on you,” she said Wednesday morning. “Our curiosity is in strengthening the Mexican economic system.”

Canada had imposed retaliatory tariffs in response to the 25% tariffs that Trump tied to the trafficking of fentanyl. The EU, in response to the metal and aluminum tariffs, has imposed taxes on 26 billion euros’ value ($28 billion) of U.S. items, together with bourbon, prompting Trump to threaten a 200% tariff on European alcohol.

Some nations took concern with the White House’s calculations.

Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese mentioned the tariffs have been completely unwarranted, however Australia won’t retaliate.

“President Trump referred to reciprocal tariffs. A reciprocal tariff would be zero, not 10%,” said Albanese. The U.S. and Australia have a free trade agreement, and the U.S. has a $2-to-$1 trade surplus with Australia. “This is just not the act of a good friend.”

Trump mentioned the U.S. purchased $3 billion of Australian beef final yr, however Australia wouldn’t settle for U.S. beef imports. Albanese mentioned the ban on uncooked U.S. beef was for biosecurity causes.

A shopper looks at Australian beef products for sale at a supermarket, Sydney, Australia, April 3, 2025. (AFP Photo)

A consumer seems to be at Australian beef merchandise on the market at a grocery store, Sydney, Australia, April 3, 2025. (AFP Photo)

A 29% tariff imposed on the tiny South Pacific outpost of Norfolk Island got here as a shock. The Australian territory has a inhabitants of round 2,000 folks, and the economic system revolves round tourism.

“To my knowledge, we do not export anything to the United States,” Norfolk Island Administrator George Plant, the Australian government’s representative on the island, told the AP Thursday. “We don’t cost tariffs on something. I can’t consider any non-tariff boundaries that will be in place both, so we’re scratching our heads right here.”

“We don’t have a 20% tariff rate,” said New Zealand’s Trade Minister Todd McClay. But he said New Zealand did not intend to retaliate. “That would put up costs on New Zealand customers and it could be inflationary,” he mentioned.

As Trump learn the checklist of nations that will be focused Wednesday, he repeatedly mentioned he didn’t blame them for the commerce boundaries they imposed to guard their very own nations’ companies. “But we’re doing the identical factor proper now,” he mentioned.

“In the face of unrelenting financial warfare, the United States can now not proceed with a coverage of unilateral financial give up,” Trump mentioned.

Speaking from a business discussion board in India, Chilean President Gabriel Boric warned that such measures problem “rules that govern worldwide commerce.”

Colombian President Gustavo Petro, who has clashed with Trump earlier than, mentioned by way of X that the tariffs marked a milestone: “Today the neoliberalism that proclaimed free-trade insurance policies all around the world has died.”

Analysts say there’s little to be gained from an all-out commerce conflict, neither within the United States nor in different nations.

“If Trump actually imposes excessive tariffs, Europe must reply, however the paradox is that the EU could be higher off doing nothing,” mentioned Matteo Villa, a senior analyst at Italy’s Institute for International Political Studies.

“On the other hand, Trump seems to understand only the language of force, and this indicates the need for a strong and immediate response,” Villa said. “Probably the hope, in Brussels, is that the response will likely be robust sufficient to induce Trump to barter and, quickly, to backtrack.”

Source: www.dailysabah.com

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