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Are the recent tremors in the Sea of Marmara a sign of a possible major earthquake in Istanbul?

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Published December 19,2023


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The Director of Boğaziçi University Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute, Prof. Dr. Haluk Özener, said that the Marmara Region experiences a mean of roughly 900 earthquakes per 12 months, with 4 to five of them being above magnitude 4 or 5. He emphasised that the latest seismic exercise within the area must be thought-about inside the regular seismic exercise density. Regarding the latest earthquakes within the Marmara Sea over the previous month, consultants evaluated whether or not they might be precursors to a possible earthquake in Istanbul.

Prof. Dr. Haluk Özener talked about that the earthquake that occurred in Yalova’s Çınarcık district on December 17 with a magnitude of 4.1 was decided to be on the northern department of the North Anatolian Fault. Referring to the 5.1 magnitude earthquake on December 4 within the Marmara Sea, he defined that this earthquake was on the southern department of the North Anatolian Fault passing by means of the Marmara Sea.

He highlighted that there’s an expectation of a serious earthquake within the Marmara Region, and emphasised the necessity for preparedness and efforts to cut back earthquake harm. Prof. Dr. Özener identified that Turkey has skilled greater than 55,000 earthquakes to this point in 2023 and pressured the significance of acknowledging and residing with the truth that Turkey is liable to earthquakes.

Prof. Dr. Ziyadin Çakır, a school member of the Geological Engineering Department at Istanbul Technical University, cautioned towards the unfold of speculative data on social media about earthquakes. He emphasised the significance of earthquake experience and criticized the tendency for people with out related data to make inaccurate feedback.

Çakır defined that earthquakes with magnitudes of 4 to five are thought-about “normal” in earthquake-prone nations, and the latest earthquakes are usually not essentially precursors to a serious earthquake in Istanbul. He urged cautious consideration if small earthquakes happen close to main fault strains. Çakır emphasised the precedence of earthquake preparedness and concrete transformation in Istanbul, significantly specializing in densely populated areas resembling colleges, hospitals, and authorities establishments.

In abstract, the consultants pressured the necessity for earthquake preparedness and emphasised that whereas small earthquakes are widespread within the area, they don’t essentially point out an imminent main earthquake in Istanbul. They additionally highlighted the urgency of city transformation to cut back the influence of potential earthquakes on populated areas.

Source: www.anews.com.tr

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