HomeTurkeyScientist warns of record heat amid El Nino's influence in Türkiye

Scientist warns of record heat amid El Nino’s influence in Türkiye

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The yr 2023 marked the most popular yr on document because of the impactful El Nino impact, with expectations of temperature information persisting properly into the summer time of 2024, in accordance with a Turkish local weather scientist.

Climate change and international warming have resulted within the 10 hottest years between 2010 and 2022.

The El Nino impact, characterised by a warming of the ocean floor within the central and japanese tropical Pacific Ocean, considerably contributed to 2023 setting temperature information on 179 days.

Levent Kurnaz, the top of Boğazici University’s Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies in Istanbul, highlighted El Nino’s affect, inflicting international temperatures to surge additional.

He emphasised that excessive climate occasions have intensified with atmospheric warming, attributing half of 2023’s temperature information to this phenomenon.

“2023 stands as humanity’s hottest year, unrivaled in the past 125,000 years. Particularly from July onward, the El Nino effect played a crucial role, pushing temperatures well above average. Previous record years, such as 2016 and 2020 affected by El Nino, pale in comparison to 2023,” stated Kurnaz.

He expressed considerations about surpassing the 1.5 levels Celsius goal outlined within the Paris Agreement.

Kurnaz harassed the urgency, citing Libya’s Derna metropolis flood in 2023 as probably the most excessive climate occasion. He underscored El Nino’s capability to accentuate anticipated climate occasions and produce surprising catastrophes.

Predicting El Nino’s continuation in 2024, Kurnaz cautioned about sustained extreme climate occasions and hovering temperatures. Türkiye and Europe are anticipated to endure an prolonged heatwave till mid-next summer time, perpetuating the streak of record-breaking temperatures.

“We anticipate this trend until at least March and April. El Nino’s forecasting is complex, making June’s predictions challenging. However, indications suggest an intensification of El Nino, with over a 50% likelihood of it being the most severe yet,” he stated.

Touching upon Türkiye’s water wants, the local weather skilled expressed hope for a wetter winter and spring to alleviate the agricultural and water useful resource impacts from previous dry years.

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