A brand new report by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) on Wednesday indicated that the planet’s annual common temperature is 80% prone to quickly exceed the 1.5 C threshold above pre-industrial ranges for at the very least one of many subsequent 5 years.
The world imply near-surface temperature for annually between 2024 and 2028 is predicted to be between 1.1 C and 1.9 C larger than the 1850-1900 baseline, mentioned the UN climate company’s report.
Temperatures in at the very least one among these years will in all probability set a brand new report, beating 2023, presently the warmest yr on report, the report underlined.
It mentioned there was a 47% probability that the worldwide temperature common over the whole five-year interval will exceed 1.5 C above the pre-industrial period, a rise from 32% from final yr’s report for 2023-2027.
The world common near-surface temperature was about 1.45 C in 2023, in accordance with WMO. Last yr’s record-high temperatures had been fueled by long-term local weather warming, mixed with different elements, most notably a naturally occurring El Nino climate occasion, which is now waning.
“This report makes it clear that we are on a record-breaking warming path,” Ko Barrett, WMO’s deputy secretary-general, warned on Wednesday in a press convention in Geneva.
Barrett careworn that the Paris Agreement goal of 1.5 C is “not yet dead” however “hanging on a thread” because the world is risking “trillions of dollars in economic losses, millions of lives upended and destruction of fragile and precious ecosystems and the biodiversity that exists.”
“As our planet enters this new record-breaking era, we can expect to see more oppressive heat waves affecting the health of billions of people and more increases in marine heatwaves, jeopardizing livelihoods and natural ecosystems along our coasts,” she mentioned. “More sea level rise threatening coastal populations everywhere. More intense rainfall events, pushing our infrastructure beyond its limits.”
“Future scenarios many of us have feared are here now,” she warned.
“We are clearly on a path where we need to be changing that curve, instead of an upward trend of temperature,” she added.
Under the 2015 Paris Agreement, states dedicated to protecting the long-term world common floor temperature nicely beneath 2 C above pre-industrial ranges and pursuing efforts to restrict it to 1.5 C by the tip of this century.
The scientific neighborhood has repeatedly warned that warming of greater than 1.5 C dangers unleashing much more extreme local weather change impacts and excessive climate occasions.
Source: www.anews.com.tr